The Role of Three-Dimensional Modeling to Improve Comprehension of Liver Anatomy and Tumor Characteristics for Medical Students and Surgical Residents.

OBJECTIVE: Studying liver anatomy can be challenging for medical students and surgical residents due to its complexity. Three-dimensional visualization technology (3DVT) allows for a clearer and more precise view of liver anatomy. We sought to assess how 3DVT can assist students and surgical residents comprehend liver anatomy. DESIGN: Data from 5 patients who underwent liver resection for malignancy at our institution between September 2020 and April 2022 were retrospectively reviewed and selected following consensus among the investigators. Participants were required to complete an online survey to investigate their understanding of tumor characteristics and vascular variations based on patients' computed tomography (CT) and 3DVT. SETTING: The study was carried out at the General and Hepato-Biliary Surgery Department of the University of Verona. PARTICIPANTS: Among 32 participants, 13 (40.6%) were medical students, and 19 (59.4%) were surgical residents. RESULTS: Among 5 patients with intrahepatic lesions, 4 patients (80.0%) had at least 1 vascular variation. Participants identified number and location of lesions more correctly when evaluating the 3DVT (84.6% and 80.9%, respectively) compared with CT scans (61.1% and 64.8%, respectively) (both p ≤ 0.001). The identification of any vascular variations was more challenging using the CT scans, with only 50.6% of correct answers compared with 3DVT (72.2%) (p < 0.001). Compared with CT scans, 3DVT led to a 23.5%, 16.1%, and 21.6% increase in the correct definition of number and location of lesions, and vascular variations, respectively. 3DVT allowed for a decrease of 50.8 seconds (95% CI 23.6-78.0) in the time needed to answer the questions. All participants agreed on the usefulness of 3DVT in hepatobiliary surgery. CONCLUSIONS: The 3DVT facilitated a more precise preoperative understanding of liver anatomy, tumor location and characteristics.

Evaluation of the ACS-NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator in Patients with Hepatic Metastases from Colorectal Cancer Undergoing Liver Resection.

BACKGROUND: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program surgical risk calculator (ACS-NSQIP SRC) has been designed to predict morbidity and mortality and help stratify surgical patients. This study evaluates the performance of the SRC for patients undergoing surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). METHODS: SRC was retrospectively computed for patients undergoing liver or simultaneous colon and liver surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC) in two high tertiary referral centres from 2011 to 2020. C-statistics and Brier score were calculated as a mean of discrimination and calibration respectively, for both group and for every level of surgeon adjustment score (SAS) for liver resections in case of simultaneous liver-colon surgery. An AUC ≥ 0.7 shows acceptable discrimination; a Brier score next to 0 means the prediction tool has good calibration. RESULTS: Four hundred ten patients were included, 153 underwent simultaneous resection, and 257 underwent liver-only resections. For simultaneous surgery, the ACS-NSQIP SRC showed good calibration and discrimination only for cardiac complication (AUC = 0.720, 0.740, and 0.702 for liver resection unadjusted, SAS-2, and SAS-3 respectively; 0.714 for colon resection; and Brier score = 0.04 in every case). For liver-only surgery, it only showed good calibration for cardiac complications (Brier score = 0.03). The SRC underestimated the incidence of overall complications, pneumonia, cardiac complications, and the length of hospital stay. CONCLUSIONS: ACS-NSQIP SRC showed good predicting capabilities only for 1 out of 5 evaluated outcomes; therefore, it is not a reliable tool for patients undergoing liver surgery for CRLM, both in the simultaneous and staged resections.

Transcriptome analysis of primary sporadic neuroendocrine tumours of the intestine identified three different molecular subgroups.

BACKGROUND: Intestinal neuroendocrine tumours (I-NETs) represent a non-negligible entity among intestinal neoplasms, with metastatic spreading usually present at the time of diagnosis. In this context, effective molecular actionable targets are still lacking. Through transcriptome analysis, we aim at refining the molecular taxonomy of I-NETs, also providing insights towards the identification of new therapeutic vulnerabilities. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective series of 38 primary sporadic, surgically-resected I-NETs were assessed for transcriptome profiling of 20,815 genes. RESULTS: Transcriptome analysis detected 643 highly expressed genes. Unsupervised hierarchical clustering, differential expression analysis and gene set enriched analysis identified three different tumour clusters (CL): CL-A, CL-B, CL-C. CL-A showed the overexpression of ARGFX, BIRC8, NANOS2, and SSTR4 genes. Its most characterizing signatures were those related to cell-junctions, and activation of mTOR and WNT pathway. CL-A was also enriched in T CD8 + lymphocytes. CL-B showed the overexpression of PCSK1, QPCT, ST18, and TPH1 genes. Its most characterizing signatures were those related to adipogenesis, neuroendocrine metabolism, and splice site machinery-related processes. CL-B was also enriched in T CD4 + lymphocytes. CL-C showed the overexpression of ALB, ANG, ARG1, and HP genes. Its most characterizing signatures were complement/coagulation and xenobiotic metabolism. CL-C was also enriched in M1/2 macrophages. These CL-based differences may have therapeutic implications in refining the management of I-NET patients. At last, we described a specific gene-set for differentiating I-NET from pancreatic NET. DISCUSSION: Our data represent an additional step for refining the molecular taxonomy of I-NET, identifying novel transcriptome subgroups with different biology and therapeutic opportunities.

Laparoscopic double mesh repair of a large Morgagni hernia: a video vignette.

Morgagni hernia (MH) is a rare congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) that accounts for less than 2% of surgically repaired CDH in adulthood. Even if this condition is often asymptomatic, surgery is advised due to the risk of life-threatening complications such as volvulus or bowel strangulation. Surgery for MH repair can be performed by transthoracic, transabdominal, laparoscopic, or thoracoscopic approaches. Though laparoscopy has recently improved surgical outcomes, the use of prosthetic meshes and the need for reduction of the hernia sac are still the most debated issues. We present the video of a laparoscopic repair of a large MH with the use of a double mesh technique and no resection of the hernia sac.

Pre-diagnostic prognostic value of leukocytes count and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in patients who develop colorectal cancer.

Introduction: Emerging evidence is pointing towards a relevant role of immunity in cancer development. Alterations in leukocytes count and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at diagnosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) seems to predict poor prognosis, but no data is available for the pre-diagnostic values. Methods: Retrospective analysis of patients who underwent surgery for CRC at our center (2005 - 2020). 334 patients with a complete blood count dating at least 24 months prior to diagnosis were included. Changes in pre-diagnosis values of leukocytes (Pre-Leu), lymphocytes (Pre-Lymph), neutrophils (Pre-Neut), and NLR (Pre-NLR) and their correlation with overall- (OS) and cancer-related survival (CRS) were analyzed. Results: Pre-Leu, Pre-Neut and Pre-NLR showed an increasing trend approaching the date of diagnosis, while Pre-Lymph tended to decrease. The parameters were tested for associations with survival after surgery through multivariable analysis. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, Pre-Leu, Pre-Neut, Pre-Lymph and Pre-NLR resulted independent prognostic factors for OS and CRS. On sub-group analysis considering the interval between blood sampling and surgery, higher Pre-Leu, Pre-Neut, and Pre-NLR and lower Pre-Lymph were associated with worse CRS, and the effect was more evident when blood samples were closer to surgery. Conclusion: To our knowledge, this is the first study showing a significant correlation between pre-diagnosis immune profile and prognosis in CRC.

The MIS-COVID-AGICT Study: Trend of Minimally Invasive Surgery for Gastrointestinal Cancer Treatment During the First Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Italy. Subgroup Analysis from the COVID-AGICT Study: COVID-19 and Advanced Gastrointestinal Cancer Surgical Treatment.

Background: A preliminary analysis from the COVID-Advanced Gastrointestinal Cancer Surgical Treatment (AGICT) study showed that the rate of minimally invasive surgery (MIS) for elective and urgent procedures did not decrease during the pandemic year. In this article, we aimed to perform a subgroup analysis using data from the COVID-AGICT study to evaluate the trend of MIS during the COVID-19 pandemic period in Italy. Methods: This study was conducted collecting data of MIS patients from the COVID-AGICT database. The primary endpoint was to demonstrate whether the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic scenario reduced MIS for elective treatment of gastrointestinal cancer (GIC) in Italy in 2020. The secondary endpoint was to evaluate the impact of the pandemic period on perioperative outcomes in the MIS group. Results: In the pandemic year, 62% of patients underwent surgery with a minimally invasive approach, compared to 63% in 2019 (P = .23). In 2020, the proportion of patients undergoing elective MIS decreased compared to the previous year (80% versus 82%, P = .04), and the rate of urgent MIS did not differ between the 2 years (31% and 33% in 2019 and 2020 - P = .66). Colorectal cancer was less likely to be treated with MIS approach during 2020 (78% versus 75%, P < .001). Conversely, the rate of MIS pancreatic resection was higher in 2020 (28% versus 22%, P < .002). Conversion to an open approach was lower in 2020 (7.2% versus 9.2% - P = .01). Major postoperative complications were similar in both years (11% versus 11%, P = .9). Conclusion: In conclusion, although MIS for elective treatment of GIC in Italy was reduced during the COVID-19 pandemic period, our study revealed that the overall proportion of MIS (elective and urgent) and postoperative outcomes were comparable to the prepandemic period. ClinicalTrial.gov (NCT04686747).

The COVID - AGICT study: COVID-19 and advanced gastro-intestinal cancer surgical treatment. A multicentric Italian study on the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic impact on gastro-intestinal cancers surgical treatment during the 2020. Analysis of perioperative and short-term oncological outcomes.

BACKGROUND: This Italian multicentric retrospective study aimed to investigate the possible changes in outcomes of patients undergoing surgery for gastrointestinal cancers during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHOD: Our primary endpoint was to determine whether the pandemic scenario increased the rate of patients with colorectal, gastroesophageal, and pancreatic cancers resected at an advanced stage in 2020 compared to 2019. Considering different cancer staging systems, we divided tumors into early stages and advanced stages, using pathological outcomes. Furthermore, to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on surgical outcomes, perioperative data of both 2020 and 2019 were also examined. RESULTS: Overall, a total of 8250 patients, 4370 (53%) and 3880 (47%) were surgically treated during 2019 and 2020 respectively, in 62 Italian surgical Units. In 2020, the rate of patients treated with an advanced pathological stage was not different compared to 2019 (P = 0.25). Nevertheless, the analysis of quarters revealed that in the second half of 2020 the rate of advanced cancer resected, tented to be higher compared with the same months of 2019 (P = 0.05). During the pandemic year 'Charlson Comorbidity Index score of cancer patients (5.38 ± 2.08 vs 5.28 ± 2.22, P = 0.036), neoadjuvant treatments (23.9% vs. 19.5%, P < 0.001), rate of urgent diagnosis (24.2% vs 20.3%, P < 0.001), colorectal cancer urgent resection (9.4% vs. 7.37, P < 0.001), and the rate of positive nodes on the total nodes resected per surgery increased significantly (7 vs 9% - 2.02 ± 4.21 vs 2.39 ± 5.23, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Although the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic did not influence the pathological stage of colorectal, gastroesophageal, and pancreatic cancers at the time of surgery, our study revealed that the pandemic scenario negatively impacted on several perioperative and post-operative outcomes.

Tumor-Educated Platelet Extracellular Vesicles: Proteomic Profiling and Crosstalk with Colorectal Cancer Cells.

BACKGROUND: Platelet-cancer cell interactions modulate tumor metastasis and thrombosis in cancer. Platelet-derived extracellular vesicles (EVs) can contribute to these outcomes. METHODS: We characterized the medium-sized EVs (mEVs) released by thrombin-stimulated platelets of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients and healthy subjects (HS) on the capacity to induce epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT)-related genes and cyclooxygenase (COX)-2(PTGS2), and thromboxane (TX)B2 production in cocultures with four colorectal cancer cell lines. Platelet-derived mEVs were assessed for their size distribution and proteomics signature. RESULTS: The mEV population released from thrombin-activated platelets of CRC patients had a different size distribution vs. HS. Platelet-derived mEVs from CRC patients, but not from HS, upregulated EMT marker genes, such as TWIST1 and VIM, and downregulated CDH1. PTGS2 was also upregulated. In cocultures of platelet-derived mEVs with cancer cells, TXB2 generation was enhanced. The proteomics profile of mEVs released from activated platelets of CRC patients revealed that 119 proteins were downregulated and 89 upregulated vs. HS. CONCLUSIONS: We show that mEVs released from thrombin-activated platelets of CRC patients have distinct features (size distribution and proteomics cargo) vs. HS and promote prometastatic and prothrombotic phenotypes in cancer cells. The analysis of platelet-derived mEVs from CRC patients could provide valuable information for developing an appropriate treatment plan.

5 year oncological outcomes of the HIGHLOW randomized clinical trial.

INTRODUCTION: The oncological outcomes of low ligation (LL) compared to high ligation (HL) of the inferior mesenteric artery (IMA) during low-anterior rectal resection (LAR) with total mesorectal excision are still debated. The aim of this study is to report the 5 year oncologic outcomes of patients undergoing laparoscopic LAR with either HL vs. LL of the IMA MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between June 2014 and December 2016, patients who underwent elective laparoscopic LAR + TME in 6 Italian non-academic hospitals were randomized to HL or LL of IMA after meeting the inclusion criteria (HighLow trial; ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT02153801). We analyzed the rate of local recurrence, distant metastasis, overall survival, disease-specific survival, and disease-free survival at 5 years of patients previously enrolled. RESULTS: Five-year follow up data were available for 196 patients. Recurrence happened in 42 (21.4%) of patients. There was no statistically significant difference in the distant recurrence rate (15.8% HL vs. 18.9% LL; P = 0.970) and pelvic recurrence rate (4,9% HL vs 3,2% LL; P = 0.843). No statistically significant difference was found in 5-year OS (p = 0.545), DSS (p = 0.732) or DFS (p = 0.985) between HL and LL. Low vs medium and upper rectum site of tumor, conversion rate, Clavien-Dindo post-operative grade ≥3 complications and tumor stage were found statistically significantly associated to poor oncological outcomes in univariate analysis; in multivariate analysis, however, only conversion rate and stage 3 cancer were found to be independent risk factors for poor DFS at 5 years. CONCLUSION: We confirmed the results found in the previous 3-year survival analysis, the level of inferior mesenteric artery ligation does not affect OS, DSS and DFS at 5-year follow-up.

A national survey on the current status of minimally invasive gastric practice on behalf of GIRCG.

Italian Research Group for Gastric Cancer (GIRCG), during the 2013 annual Consensus Conference to gastric cancer, stated that laparoscopic or robotic approach should be limited only to early gastric cancer (EGC) and no further guidelines were currently available. However, accumulated evidences, mainly from eastern experiences, have supported the application of minimally invasive surgery also for locally advanced gastric cancer (AGC). The aim of our study is to give a snapshot of current surgical propensity of expert Italian upper gastrointestinal surgeons in performing minimally invasive techniques for the treatment of gastric cancer in order to answer to the question if clinical practice overcome the recommendation. Experts in the field among the Italian Research Group for Gastric Cancer (GIRCG) were invited to join a web 30-item survey through a formal e-mail from January 1st, 2020, to June 31st, 2020. Responses were collected from 46 participants out of 100 upper gastrointestinal surgeons. Percentage of surgeons choosing a minimally invasive approach to treat early and advanced gastric cancer was similar. Additionally analyzing data from the centers involved, we obtained that the percentage of minimally invasive total and partial gastrectomies in advanced cases augmented with the increase of surgical procedures performed per year (p = 0.02 and p = 0.04 respectively). It is reasonable to assume that there is a widening of indications given by the current national guideline into clinical practice. Propensity of expert Italian upper gastrointestinal surgeons was to perform minimally invasive surgery not only for early but also for advanced gastric cancer. Of interest volume activity correlated with the propensity of surgeons to select a minimally invasive approach.

Early Postoperative Low Compliance to Enhanced Recovery Pathway in Rectal Cancer Patients.

Early postoperative low compliance to enhanced recovery protocols has been associated with morbidity following colon surgery. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the possible causes of early postoperative low compliance to the enhanced recovery pathway and its relationship with morbidity following rectal surgery for cancer. A total of 439 consecutive patients who underwent elective surgery for rectal cancer have been included in the study. Compliance to enhanced recovery protocol on postoperative day (POD) 2 was evaluated in all patients. Indicators of compliance were naso-gastric tube and urinary catheter removal, recovery of both oral feeding and mobilization, and the stopping of intravenous fluids. Low compliance on POD 2 was defined as non- adherence to two or more items. One-third of patients had low compliance on POD 2. Removal of urinary catheter, intravenous fluids stop, and mobilization were the items with lowest adherence. Advanced age, duration of surgery, open surgery and diverting stoma were predictive factors of low compliance at multivariate analysis. Overall morbidity and major complications were significantly higher (p < 0.001) in patients with low compliance on POD 2. At multivariate analysis, failure to remove urinary catheter on POD 2 (OR = 1.83) was significantly correlated with postoperative complications. Low compliance to enhanced recovery protocol on POD 2 was significantly associated with morbidity. Failure to remove the urinary catheter was the most predictive indicator. Advanced age, long procedure, open surgery and diverting stoma were independent predictive factors of low compliance.

Immediate versus early (24-hours) urinary catheter removal after elective minimally invasive colonic resection: study protocol for a randomized, multicenter, non-inferiority trial.

BACKGROUND: Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) represents the standard of care in colorectal surgery. Among ERAS items, early removal of urinary catheter (UC) is considered a key issue, though adherence to this specific item still varies among centers. UC placement allows for monitoring of post-operative urinary output but relates to an increased risk of urinary tract infection (UTI), reduced mobility, and patient's discomfort. Several studies investigated the role of early UC removal specifically looking at the rate of acute urinary retention (AUR) but most of them were retrospective, single-center, underpowered, cohort studies. The main purpose of this study is to compare the rate of AUR after immediate (at the end of the surgery) versus early (within 24 h from the completion of surgery) removal of UC in patients undergoing minimally invasive colonic resection (MICR). The secondary outcomes focus on goals that could be positively impacted by the immediate removal of the UC at the end of the surgery. In particular, the rate of UTIs, perception of pain, time-to-return of bowel and physical functions, postoperative complications, and length of hospital stay will be measured. METHODS: This is a prospective, randomized, controlled, two-arm, multi-center, study comparing the rate of AUR after immediate versus early removal of UC in patients undergoing MICR. The investigators hypothesize that immediate UC removal is non-inferior to 24-h UC removal in terms of AUR rate. Randomization is at the patient level and participants are randomized 1:1 to remove their UC either immediately or within 24 h from the completion of surgery. Those eligible for inclusion were patients undergoing any MICR with an anastomosis above the peritoneal reflection. Those patients who need to continue urinary output monitoring after the surgery will be excluded. The number of patients calculated to be enrolled in each group is 108 based on an expected AUR rate of 3% for the 24-h UC removal group and considering acceptable an AUR of 9% for the immediate UC removal group. DISCUSSION: The demonstration of a non-inferiority of immediate versus 24-h removal of UC would call into question the usefulness of urinary drainage in the setting of MICR. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05249192. Prospectively registered on February 21, 2022.

Impact of age and comorbidities on short- and long-term outcomes of patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer.

Background: As the world population is progressively ageing, more and more elderly patients will require cancer surgery. Although curative surgery is the treatment of choice for resectable colorectal cancer (CRC), it is still debated whether elderly frail patients should undergo major cancer surgery due to the increased risk of postoperative and long-term mortality. The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the impact of age and comorbidities on postoperative mortality/morbidity and long-term outcomes, looking for potential age-related survival differences. Methods: A total of 1,482 patients operated for CRC at our institution between January 2005 and October 2020 were analysed. The independent effect of age and comorbidities on postoperative complications was assessed by a logistic model, while the effect on overall survival (OS) and cancer-related survival (CRS) was estimated by a Cox regression model. Results: The median age in the cohort was 67.8 years. Postoperative mortality was very low in the whole cohort (0.8%) and contained even in older age groups (3.2% in patients aged 80-84 years, 4% in the 85-90-year age group). The cumulative incidence of postoperative complications was doubled in patients with comorbidities (32.8% vs. 15.1%, p = 0.002). With regard to OS, as expected, it exponentially decreased with advancing age. Conversely, differences in CRS were less pronounced between age groups and absent in patients with stage 0-I CRC. Analysis of all causes and cancer-related mortality revealed a peak within 2 years from surgery, suggesting a prolonged impact of surgery. In patients aged 75 years and above, all-cause mortality showed a steep increase 1 year after surgery, while cancer-related mortality plateaued at about 4 years after surgery. On multivariable analysis, OS, but not CRS, was significantly influenced by age. Conclusions: Although acceptable results of surgery in elderly patients, OS is strongly dependent on age: older people die more from competing causes than cancer-related treatments compared to younger age classes. The preoperative identification of risk factors for low OS may help the selection of those elderly patients who would benefit from curative CRC surgery.

H3K27me3 Immunohistochemical Loss Predicts Lower Response to Neo-Adjuvant Chemo-Radiotherapy in Rectal Carcinoma.

A watch-and-wait approach was suggested to avoid the possible complications related to surgery in patients with rectal carcinoma showing clinical complete response after neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy (CRT). Since clinical response may not correlate with pathological response, markers with higher accuracy are needed to identify patients who are likely responders and could be spared surgery. This study aims to assess whether H3K27me3 immunohistochemical expression in pre-treatment rectal carcinoma predicts response to neoadjuvant CRT or shows prognostic relevance. We assessed H3K27me3 immunostaining in 46 endoscopic biopsies of rectal carcinomas treated with neoadjuvant CRT and surgery. H3K27me3 immunostaining was lost in 20, retained in 19, and inconclusive (absent in neoplastic and non-neoplastic cells) in 7 cases. Retained H3K27me3 immuno-expression was significantly associated with ypTNM stage 0 (p = 0.0111) and high tumor regression, measured using either five-tiered (p = 0.0042) or two-tiered Dworak tumor regression grade (p = 0.0009). Poor differentiation, determined counting the number of poorly differentiated clusters (PDC grade) or tumor budding (TB) foci (TB grade), in the pre-treatment biopsy, was significantly associated with a shorter time to progression after surgery (p = 0.008; p = 0.0093). However, only PDC grade (p = 0.0023), together with radial margin involvement (p = 0.0001), retained prognostic significance in the multivariate analysis. The assessment of H3K27me3 immunostaining in pre-treatment endoscopic biopsy of rectal carcinoma could be useful to predict response to neo-adjuvant CRT and to identify patients who could safely undergo watch-and-wait approach. PDC and TB grade in the pre-treatment biopsy could provide additional prognostic information in patients with rectal carcinoma treated with neoadjuvant CRT and surgery.

Prediction of Metachronous Peritoneal Metastases After Radical Surgery for Colon Cancer: A Scoring System Obtained from an International Multicenter Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Since novel strategies for prevention and treatment of metachronous peritoneal metastases (mPM) are under study, it appears crucial to identify their risk factors. Our aim is to establish the incidence of mPM after surgery for colon cancer (CC) and to build a statistical model to predict the risk of recurrence. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Retrospective analysis of consecutive pT3-4 CC operated at five referral centers (2014-2018). Patients who developed mPM were compared with patients who were PM-free at follow-up. A scoring system was built on the basis of a logistic regression model. RESULTS: Of the 1423 included patients, 74 (5.2%) developed mPM. Patients in the PM group presented higher preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) [median (IQR): 4.5 (2.5-13.0) vs. 2.7 (1.5-5.9), P = 0.001] and CA 19-9 [median (IQR): 17.7 (12.0-37.0) vs. 10.8 (5.0-21.0), P = 0.001], advanced disease (pT4a 42.6% vs. 13.5%; pT4b 16.2% vs. 3.2%; P < 0.001), and negative pathological characteristics. Multivariate logistic regression identified CA 19-9, pT stage, pN stage, extent of lymphadenectomy, and lymphovascular invasion as significant predictors, and individual risk scores were calculated for each patient. The risk of recurrence increased remarkably with score values, and the model demonstrated a high negative predictive value (98.8%) and accuracy (83.9%) for scores below five. CONCLUSIONS: Besides confirming incidence and risk factors for mPM, our study developed a useful clinical tool for prediction of mPM risk. After external validation, this scoring system may guide personalized decision-making for patients with locally advanced CC.